{"id":2193,"date":"2009-12-07T18:01:12","date_gmt":"2009-12-07T18:01:12","guid":{"rendered":"0"},"modified":"2009-12-07T18:23:09","modified_gmt":"2009-12-07T18:23:09","slug":"anthropogenic_g","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/?p=2193","title":{"rendered":"Anthropogenic Global Warming"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>So &#8211; while I try and pry some time loose to read papers and map influence and catalog sources &#8211; it seems like a good idea to put a stake in the ground and say what I believe today about global warming and the correct policy responses to it.<\/p>\n<p>Is there AGW? Maybe. Even before Climategate, I was uncomfortable with the way the science was being handled and the way that obvious questions were only answered behind closed doors. But &#8211; I also think where there&#8217;s enough manure there well could be a pony, and we&#8217;d be foolish to completely ignore the risk given even moderate amounts of evidence.<\/p>\n<p>I own fire extinguishers and guns and first aid gear and insurance policies because something <b>might<\/b> happen (and remember that in my case, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.windsofchange.net\/archives\/the_razors_edge_of_now.html\" target=\"browser\">it did<\/a>). I spend money and time and effort to hedge the risk of the highly improbable. <b>So do most of the climate skeptics out there.<\/b><\/p>\n<p>So the idea that it&#8217;s &#8216;fake&#8217; and therefore should be completely ignored is &#8211; to me &#8211; kinda foolish. <\/p>\n<p>Equally foolish is the idea that we should harshly  reshape society in a way that coincidentally meets the pre-existing prejudices of many of those who have found a new religion in AGW. That&#8217;s kind of like looking at a sex predator who conveniently discovers a religion that requires the people he chooses to have sex with him at will.<\/p>\n<p>But I&#8217;m betting that there are things we can and should do that represent &#8216;affordable&#8217; insurance policies. <\/p>\n<p>Consultants are fond of four-square boxes&#8230;you know, quadrants. In this case, [easy\/hard] and [high impact\/low impact]. I might make it 3-dimensional and add [serves other goals\/only for preventing AGW].<\/p>\n<p>It seems like a no-brainer that we ought to decide on the [easy\/high-impact\/serves other goals] and do all that stuff now &#8211; while we&#8217;re figuring things out and trying to improve the science.<\/p>\n<p>So I&#8217;m interested in what people think fits into that box. Comment away&#8230;<br \/>\n&#8211;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Insurance and AGW<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2193"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2193"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2193\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2193"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2193"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2193"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}