{"id":2326,"date":"2010-06-13T01:52:00","date_gmt":"2010-06-13T01:52:00","guid":{"rendered":"0"},"modified":"2010-06-13T02:11:04","modified_gmt":"2010-06-13T02:11:04","slug":"afghanistan_as","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/?p=2326","title":{"rendered":"Afghanistan As A Strategic Sinkhole"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;ve been scarce on the blog front for a while; both this blog and my work blog have suffered badly. Sorry about that &#8211; work has been ridiculous (which is a good thing) for the last few months, and I have a client who wouldn&#8217;t be happy with me blogging too much about what I&#8217;m doing. We&#8217;re leaving for three weeks in Japan in a week, and getting work squared away, planning (and budgeting!) for that has been intense.<\/p>\n<p>Plus there&#8217;s the malaise&#8230;just looking around at the scenes (California, the nation) that interest me &#8211; it&#8217;s all bad news all the way down.<\/p>\n<p>But BG got Internet, and we&#8217;ve had some great chats, and &#8211; I&#8217;m embarrassed &#8211; I look at the fact that he goes to work every day and risks everything when he&#8217;s as upset about everything as I am and get pretty deeply ashamed. It&#8217;s not like I do much, but throwing the seeds of ideas out there and trying to trigger discussion is what I have and can do. So I need to do it, and &#8211; once I get back from Japan, I will. Or maybe even a bit before then.<\/p>\n<p>Right now, I&#8217;m thinking about Afghanistan and Vietnam, and while no it isn&#8217;t Vietnam, the parallels to the way we&#8217;re approaching it are becoming frightening to me.<\/p>\n<p>So I&#8217;m thinking about working my way through &#8216;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/dp\/0891415637?tag=armedliberal-20&#038;camp=213381&#038;creative=390973&#038;linkCode=as4&#038;creativeASIN=0891415637&#038;adid=0EXVZ5X07JXN5B6VZVE2&#038;\" target=\"browser\">On Strategy<\/a>&#8216; and seeing what maps to what we&#8217;re doing today. My gut answer is: a lot.<\/p>\n<p>What to do about it? I honestly don&#8217;t know. I know smart people who think we withdraw now, and smart people who (frighteningly) seriously think we withdraw through Tehran.<\/p>\n<p>But we can&#8217;t keep doing what we&#8217;re doing. We&#8217;re spilling blood and treasure and don&#8217;t know why or what for.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s Summers quoting Clausewitz:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><i>Not every war need be fought until one side collapses. When the motives and tensions of war are slight we can imagine that the faintest prospect of defeat might be enough to cause one side to yield. If from the very start the other side feels that this is probable, it will obviously concentrate on bringing about this probability rather than take the log way round and totally defeat the enemy.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; On War 1:2<\/i><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\n&#8211;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>While Afghanistan isn&#8217;t Vietnam &#8211; are we acting like it is?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2326"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2326"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2326\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2326"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2326"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2326"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}