{"id":339,"date":"2004-02-12T02:20:49","date_gmt":"2004-02-12T02:20:49","guid":{"rendered":"0"},"modified":"2006-09-28T12:08:30","modified_gmt":"2006-09-28T12:08:30","slug":"apocolypse_soon","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/?p=339","title":{"rendered":"Apocolypse Soon"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Since &#8211; by the way &#8211; he was in Vietnam, I&#8217;ll use one of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.imdb.com\/title\/tt0078788\/\" target=\"browser\">my<\/a> touchstone Vietnam experiences to comment.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>ARMED LIBERAL WAKES UP, STAGGERS TO WINDOW, PULLS CURTAIN ASIDE, LOOKS OUT.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Kerry. Shit, it&#8217;s going to be Kerry.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>At this point, Clark is out, Dean is running so that he doesn&#8217;t disappoint his supporters (except that Joe Trippi is <a href=\"http:\/\/www.buzzmachine.com\/archives\/2004_02.html#006200\" target=\"browser\">already starting<\/a> a new organizing effort that will suck what oxygen is left out of his room), Edwards is doing &#8220;OK&#8221;, and were there other candidates? I forget.<\/p>\n<p>I was almost in a brutally tough position on this one, but Kerry&#8217;s impending coronation makes it somewhat easier. While Bush&#8217;s domestic policies aren&#8217;t criminal, exactly, they are amazingly stupid in almost every dimension in which I can think to measure them. But he is doing the war thing sort of right. Unless he&#8217;s planning to pull out too soon in the face of domestic political pressure. Now my head really hurts.<\/p>\n<p>And if the Democrats had a candidate who had a strong track record on foreign policy and had some kind of remotely consistent plan for what to do now that we&#8217;re here (see <a href=\"http:\/\/windsofchange.net\/archives\/004223.html\" target=\"browser\">some of my ideas<\/a>, as examples of what I&#8217;d like to see), I&#8217;d have to weigh the cost of switching teams mid-game against the net advantages of domestic policies I liked better against the likely effect of the proposed foreign policies against the fact that I&#8217;ve always supported Democrats, and that a strong Democratic Presidential showing would have coattails in local races that I value a lot.<br \/>\nI&#8217;d been watching and reading about Edwards, and had pretty much set myself to actually do some work on his behalf in the event it was close come the California primary. <\/p>\n<p>I can rebudget that time elsewhere, it appears.<\/p>\n<p>And, to be frank, I think that I can dodge the tough issue of whether I&#8217;d rather support a Republican &#8211; for the first time in my life &#8211; or someone whose foreign policy makes me all itchy and nervous. It won&#8217;t matter who I support, Kerry is going to get tubed.<\/p>\n<p>Why do I say that? Glad you asked!<\/p>\n<p>He&#8217;s being supported because people believe he can be elected, not because of any deep attachment to him or his policies, which are almost as variable as Boston weather.<\/p>\n<p>On every issue where Kerry ought to be able to just nail Bush, there is a strong and obvious counter. <\/p>\n<p>* Unlike Bush, Kerry <a href=\"http:\/\/www.johnkerry.com\/communities\/veterans\/service.html\" target=\"browser\">served in Vietnam<\/a>, while Bush did (<a href=\"http:\/\/philcarter.blogspot.com\/2004_02_01_philcarter_archive.html#107643122754196652\" target=\"browser\">something<\/a>) in Texas [Wrote an antiwar book featuring radically unkempt demonstrators, threw (someone&#8217;s) medals over the White House fence, was on stage with Jane Fonda, gave testimony to the Senate that certainly challenged the notion that he supported the troops, appeared in a photo in front of the NVA flag];<\/p>\n<p>* Unlike Bush, Kerry didn&#8217;t trade on his father&#8217;s position to get bailed out of bad businesses [married his way to wealth];<\/p>\n<p>* Unlike Bush, Kerry didn&#8217;t use his political connections to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.tpj.org\/pioneers\/r_hicks.html\" target=\"browser\">reward campaign investors<\/a> [well, OK, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.thestate.com\/mld\/thestate\/news\/politics\/7875635.htm\" target=\"browser\">skip that one<\/a>];<\/p>\n<p>* Unlike Bush, Kerry isn&#8217;t <a href=\"http:\/\/politicalhumor.about.com\/library\/blbushisms.htm\" target=\"browser\">guilty of malapropisms<\/a> [Unlike Bush, is perceived as an <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nypost.com\/postopinion\/opedcolumnists\/17337.htm\" target=\"browser\">arrogant ass<\/a> by many who come in contact with him]<\/p>\n<p>Look, there is nothing in the world I&#8217;d like more than a serious debate about our national ends and the means we intend to use to get from here to there. If there were a Democratic candidate who combined some rational domestic policy with a serious foreign policy, I&#8217;d take out a HELOC and spend three or four months helping out.<\/p>\n<p>This is arguably the most serious election in my adult life. I believe that the Communists would have collapsed sooner or later even if Reagan hadn&#8217;t spent them into the ground (although he certainly made a difference). I think that Clinton did some good stuff in refocusing our domestic social-welfare programs.<\/p>\n<p>But there&#8217;s a big-ass hole in lower Manhattan, and our people are being beheaded on home video. It&#8217;s not going to get better by itself, and we need to have a coherent set of policies and the resources and will to carry them out. Kerry&#8217;s actions and statements to date don&#8217;t give me an ounce of confidence that he&#8217;s the guy to do this.<\/p>\n<p>Bush is challengeable on that front, and I&#8217;d like to see him challenged in order, if nothing else, to get him to better articulate and defend what he&#8217;s doing.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m not going to stay up late seeing if Kerry can make that challenge.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Since &#8211; by the way &#8211; he was in Vietnam, I&#8217;ll use one of my touchstone Vietnam experiences to comment. ARMED LIBERAL WAKES UP, STAGGERS TO WINDOW, PULLS CURTAIN ASIDE, LOOKS OUT. &#8220;Kerry. Shit, it&#8217;s going to be Kerry.&#8221; At this point, Clark is out, Dean is running so that he doesn&#8217;t disappoint his supporters [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/339"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=339"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/339\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=339"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=339"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=339"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}