{"id":391,"date":"2004-03-30T02:47:20","date_gmt":"2004-03-30T02:47:20","guid":{"rendered":"0"},"modified":"2006-09-28T12:08:33","modified_gmt":"2006-09-28T12:08:33","slug":"clinton_bush_and_911","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/?p=391","title":{"rendered":"Clinton, Bush, and 9\/11"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In the comments to &#8216;<a href=\"http:\/\/windsofchange.net\/archives\/004771.php\" target=\"browser\">Sondheim<\/a>&#8216; below, <b>Vesicle Trafficker<\/b> makes these accusations:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><i>This is a very common argument in Pro-Bush Pro-Iraq war circles. The problem is, it is only partly true. If you substitute &#8220;In the decade or so&#8221; with &#8220;between January and September of 2001&#8221;, I think you&#8217;d be right.<\/p>\n<p><b>&#8230;<\/b><\/p>\n<p>I stand by my statement that it is a Pro-Bush Pro-Iraq war fantasy that the blame for 9\/11 falls on Clinton for his alleged effete or ineffective response to global terrorism. 9\/11 is not evidence for this, it is only evidence for Bush&#8217;s incompetence. It happened on his watch. He didn&#8217;t take Al Qaeda seriously. He was worried about stem cells and Saddam.<\/i><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>VT, your evidence for this would be exactly&#8230;what? <\/p>\n<p>Because I&#8217;ve got a fairly substantial amount of evidence that points the other way.All the pieces were in place for &#8220;Operation Wedding Cake&#8217; by July of 01; All Bush had done was increase the covert budget from $2B to $12.5 B in that time. The operational failures that had allowed the low-level operatives to come into the country were the same ones that let the bombers in the WTC I attack in.<\/p>\n<p>Are you really suggesting that there was some strategy that Bush could have executed &#8211; one that doesn&#8217;t read like a plotline for a Tom Clancy book &#8211; that would have, in six months, unwound this plan?<\/p>\n<p>I know a little bit about law enforcement, and have read a fair amount about intelligence. I honestly can&#8217;t imagine any policy change that could have interrupted this attack (and I&#8217;ll note that given bureaucratic inertia, absent some policy document that you can show that Bush &#8216;stood down&#8217; the street-level antiterrorist forces, between January and July of 01 they were pretty much doing what they did between July and Dec 00). I&#8217;ll leave the door open to you suggest an alternative path that Bush could have followed, and I&#8217;ll reserve judgment until we hear what you would suggest.<\/p>\n<p>The planning for the attack began in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cooperativeresearch.net\/timeline\/1990s\/time122198.html\" target=\"browser\">1998 or 1999<\/a>. The CIA plans several attacks against Bin Laden, but is shut down by higher-levels <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cooperativeresearch.net\/timeline\/2001\/philadelphiainquirer091601.html\" target=\"browser\">within the Clinton Administration<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Now I&#8217;ve <a href=\"http:\/\/windsofchange.net\/archives\/003200.php\" target=\"browser\">proposed a theory back in March<\/a> (I&#8217;m not the only one, and I&#8217;m not sure I can take credit for originating it) in which I posit:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><i>And while in fact, the Clinton Administration was somewhat effective in following a &#8216;legalistic&#8217; arrest and try strategy, <b>it obviously hasn&#8217;t worked<\/b>. I&#8217;ve always been annoyed at the righties who claimed that Clinton was snoozing at the switch and that the only U.S. response to terrorism was to lob a cruise missile into an aspirin plant.<\/p>\n<p>The reality is that Clinton&#8217;s team was highly focussed on terrorism&#8230;<b>but on terrorism as crime, as opposed to as an instrument of war<\/b>. We focussed on identifying the actual perpetrators, and attempting to arrest them or cause their arrest.<\/p>\n<p>This is pretty much the typical liberal response to 9\/11. Send in SWAT, pull &#8217;em out in cuffs, and let&#8217;s sit back and watch the fun on Court TV.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ve been ambivalent about whether this is a good strategy conceptually, and looking at the history&#8230;in which we&#8217;re batting about .600 in arresting and trying Islamist terrorists&#8230;I have come to the realization that <b>the fact is that it hasn&#8217;t worked<\/b>. The level and intensity of terrorist actions increased, all the way through 9\/11 and the subsequent invasion of Afghanistan.<\/p>\n<p>And a part of what I have realized is that as long as states &#8211; particularly wealthy states &#8211; are willing to explicitly house terrorists and their infrastructure, or implicitly turn a blind eye to their recruitment and funding, we can&#8217;t use the kind of &#8216;police&#8217; tactics that worked against Baader-Meinhof or the Red Army Faction. The Soviet Union and it&#8217;s proxies offered limited support to these terrorist gangs, but they didn&#8217;t have a national population to recruit from and bases and infrastructure that only a state can provide.<\/p>\n<p>So unless we shock the states supporting terrorism into stopping, the problem will get worse. Note that it will probably get somewhat worse if we do&#8230;but that&#8217;s weather, and I&#8217;m worried about climate.<\/i><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Now VT and others who disagree can argue &#8211; I&#8217;m obviously interested in arguing this, or I wouldn&#8217;t be putting this up as a post &#8211; but that implies a counterargument, or at least facts that counter the theory. I don&#8217;t see VT&#8217;s claims as rising to that level; I&#8217;m posting this so he (?) doesn&#8217;t feel like I&#8217;m neglecting a serious response to the specific claims that were made.<\/p>\n<p>There is a philosophical &#8216;the buck stops here&#8217; kind of point to make, but that&#8217;s not how I&#8217;m reading VT&#8217;s comment.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ll second the general point that&#8217;s been made that apportioning operational blame for the failure to stop the 9\/11 attacks is something that can be readily shared between Clinton and Bush. Clinton had more time, but a) it happened on Bush&#8217;s watch, and b) he&#8217;s accountable for his failure to clean house and really shake up the bureaucracies in response to the failure.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m willing to grant that either party is roughly equal in competence in managing the bureaucracy (although I&#8217;ll also grant that this is subject to debate). I&#8217;d rather, first, be debating the doctrines they are going to instill into that bureaucracy, and here in my view Clinton comes up short.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s not clear he had any options, given the historic moment and political climate here and abroad. But I&#8217;ll take Bush&#8217;s doctrine to date over Clinton&#8217;s. My judgment is out on Kerry&#8217;s, until I actually figure out what his doctrine might be.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In the comments to &#8216;Sondheim&#8216; below, Vesicle Trafficker makes these accusations: This is a very common argument in Pro-Bush Pro-Iraq war circles. The problem is, it is only partly true. If you substitute &#8220;In the decade or so&#8221; with &#8220;between January and September of 2001&#8221;, I think you&#8217;d be right. &#8230; I stand by my [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/391"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=391"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/391\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=391"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=391"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=391"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}