{"id":857,"date":"2005-08-25T15:32:42","date_gmt":"2005-08-25T15:32:42","guid":{"rendered":"0"},"modified":"2006-09-28T12:09:20","modified_gmt":"2006-09-28T12:09:20","slug":"peak_oil","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/?p=857","title":{"rendered":"Peak Oil"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Speaking of Kleiman, he <a href=\"http:\/\/www.markarkleiman.com\/archives\/_\/2005\/08\/betting_on_oil_prices.php\" target=\"browser\">points out<\/a> that the futures markets are pricing oil in 2010 at $39\/barrel.<\/p>\n<p>There&#8217;s been a lot of interesting peak oil discussion lately &#8211; see <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freakonomics.com\/2005\/08\/peak-oil-welcome-to-medias-new-version.html\" target=\"browser\">this post<\/a> by the Stephen Levett, the Freakonomics guy. Max Sawicky <a href=\"http:\/\/maxspeak.org\/mt\/archives\/001540.html\" target=\"browser\">didn&#8217;t like it much<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>I tend to side with the freaks on this one, though, and let me tell you why.All my West L.A. friends who are married and have kids have SUV&#8217;s. West L.A. &#8211; the media capital of the world (sorry, Manhattan) tends to lead trends that are wide in Middle America eighteen months later.<\/p>\n<p>In the last two months, I&#8217;ve had dinner or lunch with four of my friends. <\/p>\n<p>All four are in the market for hybrid Priuses to replace SUV&#8217;s except one, who&#8217;s trading in his Yukon for a Subaru.<\/p>\n<p>When I was in the U.K. last month, I used car services to get from and to the airport.<\/p>\n<p>The last leg, from Derby to Heathrow, had me get picked up by a sprightly guy in a new Ford Mondeo turbodiesel. A <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ford.co.uk\/mondeo_0504\/\" target=\"browser\">Mondeo<\/a> is a mainstream car, about the size of a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.honda.co.uk\/cars\/newcars\/modelHome.jsp?modelId=10410\" target=\"browser\">Honda Accord<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>As we drove down the motorway, I watched the trip computer in amazement&#8230;we were tracking close to 80mph most of the time&#8230;and it showed a trip average of 52.5 mpg. <\/p>\n<p>Then I realized that they were Imperial gallons, which reduced the mileage to 43.6mpg.<\/p>\n<p>For essentially a full-sized sedan.<\/p>\n<p>There&#8217;s a lot of room for more efficiency here. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Speaking of Kleiman, he points out that the futures markets are pricing oil in 2010 at $39\/barrel. There&#8217;s been a lot of interesting peak oil discussion lately &#8211; see this post by the Stephen Levett, the Freakonomics guy. Max Sawicky didn&#8217;t like it much. I tend to side with the freaks on this one, though, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/857"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=857"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/857\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=857"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=857"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=857"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}