{"id":2190,"date":"2009-12-04T04:51:57","date_gmt":"2009-12-04T04:51:57","guid":{"rendered":"0"},"modified":"2009-12-04T04:51:57","modified_gmt":"2009-12-04T04:51:57","slug":"my_pet_climate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/?p=2190","title":{"rendered":"My Pet Climate Project"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>So I&#8217;ve been reading the IPCC reports over the last few days.<\/p>\n<p>In spite of the appearance that my bet with Chris having been settled by the admission that the raw climate data is pinned to its perch, I&#8217;m genuinely interested what the research has to say.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;d like to crowdsource a small research project with the intent of putting together two things &#8211; an influence diagram and a checklist of datasets and models cited so that we can in turn explore the availability and state of them.<\/p>\n<p>To do that, I needed a set of papers; I wanted to pick a sample, so I chose a chapter from the latest IPCC report &#8211; <\/p>\n<form mt:asset-id=\"143\" class=\"mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-file\" style=\"display: inline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.windsofchange.net\/media\/AR4WG1_Print_Ch01.pdf\">IPCC Historical Overview<\/a><\/form>\n<p> &#8211; and pulled a set of papers that seemed relevant from it &#8211; 20 papers in total.<\/p>\n<p><meta http-equiv=Content-Type content=\"text\/html; charset=windows-1252\"><br \/>\n<meta name=Generator content=\"Microsoft Word 12 (filtered)\"><\/p>\n<style>\n<!--\n \/* Font Definitions *\/\n @font-face\n\t{font-family:\"Cambria Math\";\n\tpanose-1:2 4 5 3 5 4 6 3 2 4;}\n@font-face\n\t{font-family:Calibri;\n\tpanose-1:2 15 5 2 2 2 4 3 2 4;}\n@font-face\n\t{font-family:TimesNewRomanPSMT;\n\tpanose-1:0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0;}\n@font-face\n\t{font-family:HelveticaNeue-CondensedObl;\n\tpanose-1:0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0;}\n@font-face\n\t{font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT;\n\tpanose-1:0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0;}\n@font-face\n\t{font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT;\n\tpanose-1:0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0;}\n \/* Style Definitions *\/\n p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal\n\t{margin-top:6.0pt;\n\tmargin-right:0in;\n\tmargin-bottom:9.0pt;\n\tmargin-left:0in;\n\tline-height:115%;\n\tfont-size:11.0pt;\n\tfont-family:\"Calibri\",\"sans-serif\";}\n@page Section1\n\t{size:8.5in 11.0in;\n\tmargin:1.0in 1.0in 1.0in 1.0in;}\ndiv.Section1\n\t{page:Section1;}\n-->\n<\/style>\n<p><\/head><\/p>\n<p><body lang=EN-US><\/p>\n<div class=Section1>\n<table class=MsoNormalTable border=1 cellspacing=0 cellpadding=0\n style='border-collapse:collapse;border:none'><\/p>\n<tr>\n<td width=34 valign=top style='width:.35in;border:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:normal'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=213 valign=top style='width:159.6pt;border:solid black 1.0pt;\n  border-left:none;padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:normal'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Full<br \/>\n  cite<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=135 valign=top style='width:101.4pt;border:solid black 1.0pt;\n  border-left:none;padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:normal'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Short<br \/>\n  cite<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=34 valign=top style='width:.35in;border:solid black 1.0pt;\n  border-top:none;padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>1<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=213 valign=top style='width:159.6pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'><a href=\"http:\/\/citeseerx.ist.psu.edu\/viewdoc\/download?doi=10.1.1.143.4030&#038;rep=rep1&#038;type=pdf\" target=\"browser\">Barnett, T.P., et al.,<br \/>\n  1999: Detection and attribution of recent climate change: A status report<\/a>. <\/span><i><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc.<\/span><\/i><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>, <\/span><b><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>80<\/span><\/b><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>, 2631-2660.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=135 valign=top style='width:101.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Barnett et al., 1999<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=34 valign=top style='width:.35in;border:solid black 1.0pt;\n  border-top:none;padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>2<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=213 valign=top style='width:159.6pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'><a href=\"http:\/\/hadobs.metoffice.com\/hadcrut3\/HadCRUT3_accepted.pdf\" target=\"browser\">Brohan P., et al., 2006:<br \/>\n  Uncertainty estimates in regional and global<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>observed temperature<br \/>\n  changes: A new data set from 1850<\/a>. <\/span><i><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>J.<br \/>\n  Geophys.Res.<\/span><\/i><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>, <\/span><b><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>111<\/span><\/b><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>,<br \/>\n  D12106, doi:10.1029\/2005JD006548.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=135 valign=top style='width:101.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Brohan et al., 2006<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=34 valign=top style='width:.35in;border:solid black 1.0pt;\n  border-top:none;padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>3<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=213 valign=top style='width:159.6pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/nature\/journal\/v297\/n5861\/pdf\/297028a0.pdf\" target=\"browser\">Francey, R.J., and G.D.<br \/>\n  Farquhar, 1982: An explanation of C-13\/C-12 variations in tree rings.<\/a> <\/span><i><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>Nature<\/span><\/i><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>, <\/span><b><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>297<\/span><\/b><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>,<br \/>\n  28-31.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=135 valign=top style='width:101.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:normal'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Francey<br \/>\n  and Farquhar, 1982<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=34 valign=top style='width:.35in;border:solid black 1.0pt;\n  border-top:none;padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>4<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=213 valign=top style='width:159.6pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'><a href=\"http:\/\/www.springerlink.com\/content\/wy2kp06at6u91xlg\/\" target=\"browser\">Hasselmann, K., 1997:<br \/>\n  Multi-pattern fingerprint method for detection and attribution of climate<br \/>\n  change. (purchase)<\/a>  <\/span><i><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Clim. Dyn.<\/span><\/i><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>, <\/span><b><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>13<\/span><\/b><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>, 601-612.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=135 valign=top style='width:101.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Hasselmann, 1997<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=34 valign=top style='width:.35in;border:solid black 1.0pt;\n  border-top:none;padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>5<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=213 valign=top style='width:159.6pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'><a href=\"http:\/\/w3k.gkss.de\/staff\/storch\/pdf\/hegerl_etal_1996.pdf\" target=\"browser\">Hegerl, G.C., et al.,<br \/>\n  1996: Detecting greenhouse-gas-induced climate<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>change with an optimal fingerprint<br \/>\n  method.<\/a> <\/span><i><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>J. Clim.<\/span><\/i><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>, <\/span><b><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>9<\/span><\/b><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>, 2281-2306.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=135 valign=top style='width:101.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Hegerl et al., 1996<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=34 valign=top style='width:.35in;border:solid black 1.0pt;\n  border-top:none;padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>6<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=213 valign=top style='width:159.6pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'><a href=\"http:\/\/www.geos.ed.ac.uk\/geography\/homes\/ghegerl\/hegerletal97.pdf\" target=\"browser\">Hegerl, G.C., et al.,<br \/>\n  1997: Multi-fingerprint detection and attribution of greenhouse-gas and<br \/>\n  aerosol-forced climate change.<\/a> <\/span><i><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Clim.<br \/>\n  Dyn.<\/span><\/i><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>, <\/span><b><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>13<\/span><\/b><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>, 613-634.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=135 valign=top style='width:101.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Hegerl et al., 1997<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=34 valign=top style='width:.35in;border:solid black 1.0pt;\n  border-top:none;padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>7<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=213 valign=top style='width:159.6pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'><a href=\"http:\/\/www.geos.ed.ac.uk\/contacts\/homes\/ghegerl\/Hegerletal2000.pdf\" target=\"browser\">Hegerl, G.C., et al.,<br \/>\n  2000: Optimal detection and attribution of climate<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>change: Sensitivity of<br \/>\n  results to climate model differences.<\/a> <\/span><i><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Clim.<br \/>\n  Dyn.<\/span><\/i><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>,<\/span><b><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>16<\/span><\/b><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>,<br \/>\n  737-754.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=135 valign=top style='width:101.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Hegerl et al.,  2000<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=34 valign=top style='width:.35in;border:solid black 1.0pt;\n  border-top:none;padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>8<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=213 valign=top style='width:159.6pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/nature\/journal\/v347\/n6289\/pdf\/347169a0.pdf\" target=\"browser\">Jones, P.D., et al.,<br \/>\n  1990: Assessment of urbanization effects in time series of surface air<br \/>\n  temperature over land.<\/a> <\/span><i><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Nature<\/span><\/i><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>, <\/span><b><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>347<\/span><\/b><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>, 169-172.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=135 valign=top style='width:101.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Jones et al., 1990<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=34 valign=top style='width:.35in;border:solid black 1.0pt;\n  border-top:none;padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>9<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=213 valign=top style='width:159.6pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Keeling, C.D., 1961: The<br \/>\n  concentration and isotopic abundances of carbon<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>dioxide in rural and<br \/>\n  marine air. <\/span><i><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Geochim. Cosmochim. Acta<\/span><\/i><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>, <\/span><b><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>24<\/span><\/b><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>, 77-298.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=135 valign=top style='width:101.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:normal'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Keeling,<br \/>\n  1961<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=34 valign=top style='width:.35in;border:solid black 1.0pt;\n  border-top:none;padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>10<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=213 valign=top style='width:159.6pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'><a href=\"http:\/\/scrippsco2.ucsd.edu\/publications\/keeling_autobiography.pdf\" target=\"browser\">Keeling, C.D., 1998:<br \/>\n  Rewards and penalties of monitoring the Earth.<\/a> <\/span><i><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>Annu.Rev. Energy Environ.<\/span><\/i><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>, <\/span><b><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>23<\/span><\/b><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>, 25-82.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=135 valign=top style='width:101.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:normal'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Keeling,<br \/>\n  1998<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=34 valign=top style='width:.35in;border:solid black 1.0pt;\n  border-top:none;padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>11<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=213 valign=top style='width:159.6pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ncdc.noaa.gov\/oa\/wmo\/ccl\/rural-urban.pdf\" target=\"browser\">Peterson, T.C., et al.,<br \/>\n  1999: Global rural temperature trends.<\/a> <\/span><i><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Geophys.<br \/>\n  Res.Lett.<\/span><\/i><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>, <\/span><b><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>26<\/span><\/b><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>,<br \/>\n  329-332.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=135 valign=top style='width:101.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Peterson et al., 1999<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=34 valign=top style='width:.35in;border:solid black 1.0pt;\n  border-top:none;padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>12<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=213 valign=top style='width:159.6pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/nature\/journal\/v399\/n6735\/pdf\/399429a0.pdf\" target=\"browser\">Petit, J.R., et al.,<br \/>\n  1999: Climate and atmospheric history of the past 420,000 years from the<br \/>\n  Vostok ice core, Antarctica. (purchase)<\/a> <\/span><i><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Nature<\/span><\/i><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>, <\/span><b><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>399<\/span><\/b><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>, 429-436.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=135 valign=top style='width:101.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Petit et al., 1999<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=34 valign=top style='width:.35in;border:solid black 1.0pt;\n  border-top:none;padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>13<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=213 valign=top style='width:159.6pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'><a href=\"http:\/\/www-pcmdi.llnl.gov\/publications\/pdf\/rep21.pdf\" target=\"browser\">Santer, B.D., et al.,<br \/>\n  1995: Towards the detection and attribution of an anthropogenic effect on<br \/>\n  climate.<\/a> <\/span><i><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Clim. Dyn.<\/span><\/i><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>, <\/span><b><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>12<\/span><\/b><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>, 77-100.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=135 valign=top style='width:101.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Santer et al., 1995<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=34 valign=top style='width:.35in;border:solid black 1.0pt;\n  border-top:none;padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>14<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=213 valign=top style='width:159.6pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Santer, B.D., J.S. Boyle,<br \/>\n  and D.E. Parker, 1996a: Human effect on global climate? Reply. <\/span><i><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>Nature<\/span><\/i><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>, <\/span><b><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>384<\/span><\/b><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>, 524 .<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=135 valign=top style='width:101.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Santer et al., 1996a<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=34 valign=top style='width:.35in;border:solid black 1.0pt;\n  border-top:none;padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>15<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=213 valign=top style='width:159.6pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Santer, B.D., T.M.L.<br \/>\n  Wigley, T.P. Barnett, and E. Anyamba, 1996b:<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Detection of climate<br \/>\n  change, and attribution of causes. In: <\/span><i><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Climate<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><i><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Change 1995: The<br \/>\n  Science of Climate Change <\/span><\/i><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>[Houghton,<br \/>\n  J.T., et al. (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom<br \/>\n  and New York, NY, USA, pp. 407-443.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=135 valign=top style='width:101.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Santer et al., 1996b<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=34 valign=top style='width:.35in;border:solid black 1.0pt;\n  border-top:none;padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>16<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=213 valign=top style='width:159.6pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/nature\/journal\/v382\/n6586\/pdf\/382039a0.pdf\" target=\"browser\">Santer, B.D., et al.,<br \/>\n  1996c: A search for human influences on the thermal structure of the<br \/>\n  atmosphere.<\/a> <\/span><i><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Nature<\/span><\/i><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>, <\/span><b><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>382<\/span><\/b><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>, 39-46.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=135 valign=top style='width:101.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Santer et al., 1996c<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=34 valign=top style='width:.35in;border:solid black 1.0pt;\n  border-top:none;padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>17<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=213 valign=top style='width:159.6pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'><a href=\"http:\/\/www.springerlink.com\/content\/r16r7u0g7w188166\/\" target=\"browser\">Stanhill, G., 2001: The<br \/>\n  growth of climate change science: A scientometric study. (purchase)<\/a><\/span><i><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>Clim. Change<\/span><\/i><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>,<br \/>\n  <\/span><b><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>48<\/span><\/b><span style='font-size:\n  10.0pt'>, 515-524.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=135 valign=top style='width:101.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:normal'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Stanhill,<br \/>\n  2001<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=34 valign=top style='width:.35in;border:solid black 1.0pt;\n  border-top:none;padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>18<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=213 valign=top style='width:159.6pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencemag.org\/cgi\/reprint\/290\/5499\/2133.pdf\" target=\"browser\">Stott, P.A., et al., 2000:<br \/>\n  External control of 20th century temperature by natural and anthropogenic<br \/>\n  forcings.<\/a> <\/span><i><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Science<\/span><\/i><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>, <\/span><b><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>290<\/span><\/b><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>, 2133-2137.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=135 valign=top style='width:101.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Stott et al., 2000<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=34 valign=top style='width:.35in;border:solid black 1.0pt;\n  border-top:none;padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>19<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=213 valign=top style='width:159.6pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/nature\/journal\/v399\/n6736\/full\/399569a0.html\" target=\"browser\">Tett, S.F.B., et al.,<br \/>\n  1999: Causes of twentieth century temperature change. (purchase)<\/a><\/span><i><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>Nature<\/span><\/i><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>, <\/span><b><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>399<\/span><\/b><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>,<br \/>\n  569-572.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=135 valign=top style='width:101.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Tett et al., 1999<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=34 valign=top style='width:.35in;border:solid black 1.0pt;\n  border-top:none;padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>20<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=213 valign=top style='width:159.6pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencemag.org\/cgi\/content\/full\/290\/5499\/2133\" target=\"browser\">Stott, P.A., et al.,<br \/>\n  2000: External control of 20th century temperature by natural and<br \/>\n  anthropogenic forcings.<\/a> <\/span><i><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Science<\/span><\/i><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>, <\/span><b><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>290<\/span><\/b><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>, 2133-2137.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=135 valign=top style='width:101.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Stott et al., 2000<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=34 valign=top style='width:.35in;border:solid black 1.0pt;\n  border-top:none;padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>21<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=213 valign=top style='width:159.6pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal;\n  text-autospace:none'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Willett, H.C., 1950:<br \/>\n  Temperature trends of the past century. In: <\/span><i><span style='font-size:\n  10.0pt'>CentenaryProceedings of the Royal Meteorological Society<\/span><\/i><span\n  style='font-size:10.0pt'>. Royal Meteorological Society, London. pp. 195-206.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=135 valign=top style='width:101.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:\n  none;border-bottom:solid black 1.0pt;border-right:solid black 1.0pt;\n  padding:1.45pt 5.75pt 1.45pt .1in'><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:normal'><span style='font-size:10.0pt'>Willett<br \/>\n  (1950)<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<p>Take a look at the list and the chapter and tell me if you think I missed any of import.<\/p>\n<p>Then I want to assemble a simple <\/p>\n<form mt:asset-id=\"144\" class=\"mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-file\" style=\"display: inline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.windsofchange.net\/media\/IPCC_network.xls\">datasheet<\/a><\/form>\n<p> in the hopes that people will pick a paper and fill out a datasheet on it.<\/p>\n<p>Again, we are not trying to judge the quality of the papers or research &#8211; I won&#8217;t pretend to be qualified to do so.<\/p>\n<p>But what I&#8217;d like to do is see what core data is used throughout, what models are used, and what root papers are cited. That way we can build an influence map of the people, papers, data and models. I&#8217;m not sure what &#8211; if anything &#8211; it&#8217;ll show. But I can&#8217;t help thinking it&#8217;ll be interesting.<br \/>\n&#8211;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Armed Liberal has some reading to do&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2190"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2190"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2190\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2190"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2190"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2190"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}