{"id":29,"date":"2003-02-19T18:41:47","date_gmt":"2003-02-19T18:41:47","guid":{"rendered":"0"},"modified":"2006-09-28T12:08:00","modified_gmt":"2006-09-28T12:08:00","slug":"risk_part_16","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/?p=29","title":{"rendered":"Risk (Part 1\/6)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><center><font color=\"#660066\">[Read Part 1: Risk | <a href=\"http:\/\/windsofchange.net\/archives\/003084.html\">Part 2: Risky Business<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.windsofchange.net\/archives\/003110.php\">Part 3: Risk &#038; Reality<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.windsofchange.net\/archives\/003297.php\">Part 4: Risk &#038; Politics<\/a> | <a href=\"http:\/\/www.windsofchange.net\/archives\/006144.php\">Risk, Reality, &#038; Bullsh-t<\/a> ]<\/font><\/center><\/p>\n<p>Sometimes I think my life is ruled by synchronicity (think Koestler, not Sting). <\/p>\n<p>First, Bill Whittle does his lyrical piece on &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.ejectejecteject.com\/archives\/000033.html\" target=\"browser\">Courage<\/a>&#8220;.<\/p>\n<p>Then it turns out that Tenacious G and the boys haven&#8217;t seen the Branagh &#8216;<A HREF=http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/exec\/obidos\/ASIN\/079284615X\/armedliberal-20 target=\"browser\">Henry V<\/A>&#8216;, so we jump it to the head of the <a href=http:\/\/www.netflix.com\/Default target=\"browser\">Netflix<\/a> queue, and it shows up in the mail. We watched it the other night, and it was still wonderful (Yes, Bacchus, I&#8217;m still supporting Branagh&#8217;s <a href=http:\/\/www.armedliberal.com\/archives\/000510.html target=\"browser\">erotic reward<\/a>). My boys loved it as well; Littlest Guy, who is six, wanted to watch it again the next day, and spent the time after bath and before bed wandering the house in his blue PJ&#8217;s-with-rocket-ships-and-feet and a stern look, declaiming &#8220;No <u>King<\/u> of England if not King of <u>France<\/u>.&#8221; I love my sons and they are wonderful, but they are a bit\u2026odd, sometimes. Somehow <b>that<\/b> line over all the others had caught him, and he and I had a long discussion in which I explained that Henry wanted to be King of France, and that he was willing to risk losing England to get it.<\/p>\n<p>Then, as a part of a possible venture I may do with an old friend, we had a long &#8216;strategy&#8217; talk, in which one issue that we tried to address is our differing appetite for risk; he&#8217;s been incredibly (deservedly) successful, and as a consequence has capital he wants to preserve, while I&#8217;m trying to get to the point of having some capital to worry about losing. <\/p>\n<p>And I had one of my frequent &#8220;aha!&#8221; moments, and I realized that the issue of courage is really inseparable from the issue of risk, and that we have, I believe some issues with risk in this society, and I think that those issues are of vital importance today.<\/p>\n<p> &#8211; They are important to our self-understanding as people;<br \/>\n &#8211; They are important to understanding what is happing to our economy;<br \/>\n &#8211; They are important to our politics;<br \/>\n &#8211; Many of the social issues we face in America today center around different understandings of risk;<br \/>\n &#8211; And finally, our struggles over decisions about Iraq have much to do with our differing perceptions and reactions to risk.<\/p>\n<p>This is going to be longer than I have time to do all at once, and doubtless than you have the patience to read in one sitting, so I will be putting up a stream of posts over the next few days (I&#8217;ll try and do one a day).<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the outline:<\/p>\n<p>1. Introduction (this one);<br \/>\n2. Risk in Business;<br \/>\n3. Risk and Recklessness in Society;<br \/>\n4. Risk in Politics;<br \/>\n5. Iraq and Risk.<br \/>\n6. Wrapup (and hopefully response to interesting comments)<\/p>\n<p>Let me open with some  comments.<\/p>\n<p>For most of my adult life, I&#8217;ve been someone with a high tolerance for risk.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ve taken professional risks.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ve taken risks in relationships.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ve participated in risky sports; rock- and mountain-climbing, sailboat ocean racing, motorcycle sport riding and racing.<\/p>\n<p>But I work hard to manage the risks that I take. While I&#8217;ve had some (spectacular) professional failures, the downside has been for the most part managed. The people whose relationships I&#8217;ve become serious about have stuck with me. And in my hobbies, I&#8217;ve worked hard to embody the best techniques and use the best tools to ensure my safety.<\/p>\n<p>As a good example, when I ride my motorcycle, I wear protective gear from Aerostich, Z Leathers, Boehn, Shoei, Daytona, and Held. I&#8217;ve been to the best training I can find. I&#8217;m conscious and methodical about the risks  take, and about the exposure to damage that those risks imply.<\/p>\n<p>My pursuit of martial arts\u2026including the shooting arts and other weapons arts\u2026is in no small part aimed at managing my  risk.<\/p>\n<p>So I think about risk quite a bit. I don\u2019t see myself as foolish (think of a helmetless rider on a 160mph motorcycle wearing a t-short, shorts, and Vans sneakers), I think of myself who is conscious of risk and who tries hard to manage it to acceptable levels.<\/p>\n<p>I can&#8217;t imagine not taking risks. Not only would I would have missed some of the best experiences of my life, but I can&#8217;t imagine looking at risks as &#8216;black or white&#8217; rather that examining their subtleties and looking at them as objectively as I know how. To me, <u>that<\/u> is real safety. Ignoring risks, or shying away from them, isn&#8217;t.<\/p>\n<p>What I see in many people is a simple shying away from risk. I see it ly, as people are unwilling to open themselves to relationships for fear of being hurt \u2013 and then soak in the pain of their loneliness. I see it in business where people in organizations won&#8217;t take the risk of speaking out, even when silence imposes greater long-term risks on their organization and so their job. I see it in people&#8217;s  lives, as we increasingly try and mummy ourselves in increasing layers of padding designed to keep us from the sharp corners of the world.<\/p>\n<p>I followed a van today; the signs on it explained that it was the &#8216;Babyproofing Man&#8217;. So we hire someone to put plastic caps on the sharp corners of our homes, and try and raise our children in cocoons where risk can be managed away.<\/p>\n<p>It can&#8217;t be.<\/p>\n<p>Our children are always at risk, and we can&#8217;t protect them everywhere and forever. <\/p>\n<p>What we can do is to teach them to think clearly about risk, and learn to control it themselves.<\/p>\n<p>There&#8217;s a telling little scene in the book and movie &#8216;Black Hawk Down&#8217;, in which one of the Delta operators at Mogadishu is dressed down by a regular Army NCO for not having &#8216;safed&#8217; his weapon. The operator looks at the NCO and wags his index finger in his face.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;This is <i>my<\/i> safety.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Consider this my finger wagging in your face, asking what <b>you<\/b> see as <b>your<\/b> safety.<\/p>\n<p><i>\u2026to be continued<\/i>.<\/p>\n<p>Part I is <a href=\"http:\/\/windsofchange.net\/archives\/003078.html\">here<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/windsofchange.net\/archives\/003084.html\">This<\/a> is Part II<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/windsofchange.net\/archives\/003110.html\">This<\/a> is Part III<br \/>\nParts IV > VI aren&#8217;t written yet.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[Read Part 1: Risk | Part 2: Risky Business | Part 3: Risk &#038; Reality | Part 4: Risk &#038; Politics | Risk, Reality, &#038; Bullsh-t ] Sometimes I think my life is ruled by synchronicity (think Koestler, not Sting). First, Bill Whittle does his lyrical piece on &#8220;Courage&#8220;. Then it turns out that Tenacious [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=29"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=29"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=29"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=29"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}