{"id":772,"date":"2005-04-18T04:12:14","date_gmt":"2005-04-18T04:12:14","guid":{"rendered":"0"},"modified":"2006-09-28T12:09:06","modified_gmt":"2006-09-28T12:09:06","slug":"ike_said_well_k","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/?p=772","title":{"rendered":"Ike Said &#8220;We&#8217;ll know in 50 years&#8230;&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In the comments to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.windsofchange.net\/archives\/006628.php\" target=\"browser\">this<\/a> post on propaganda, Praktike <a href=\"http:\/\/www.windsofchange.net\/archives\/006628.php#c4\" target=\"browser\">dinged<\/a> me and suggested I read Michael Beschloss&#8217; book on planning for the aftermath of WWII, &#8216;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/exec\/obidos\/ASIN\/0684810271\/armedliberal-20?creative=327641&#038;camp=14573&#038;link_code=as1\" target=\"browser\">The Conquerors<\/a>.&#8217;<\/p>\n<p>As I&#8217;d noted, it was on the list (I have an Excel file of all the books, records, and movies I mean to get around to), but his recommendation pushed it to the top of the list.<\/p>\n<p>Got it yesterday, started it today, and am about halfway through.<\/p>\n<p>I want to leave you with one big thought, and a few choice morsels to consider.The book is told at a gnat&#8217;s eye view &#8211; tracking interdepartmental politics in the White House, personality clashes, clashes of ideas and policies, and it reminds me of how contingent history really is. By that I don&#8217;t mean to take a side in the &#8216;inevitable historical forces&#8217; vs. &#8216;great  human action&#8217; vs. &#8216;random workings of chance&#8217; debate on a philosophy of history, but to suggest that the unfolding of history is certainly more complex than the understandings of any of the actors participating in it &#8211; including us.<\/p>\n<p>Something worth keeping in mind as we debate the grand sweep of strategy.<\/p>\n<p>Two quotes that made me go &#8220;uh-huh!!&#8221; from the book:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><i>&#8220;The success of this occupation can only be judged fifty years from now. If the Germans at that time have a stable, prosperous democracy, then we will have succeeded.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>\n&#8211; Dwight Eisenhower, October 1945. Frankfurt, Germany<\/p>\n<p><p>\nAfter midnight in London, Morgenthau gave an address on CBS Radio to the American people, which Roosevelt&#8217;s speechwriter Robert Sherwood and the CBS London correspondent Edward R. Murrow helped to write. He told his audience that  while touring the fallout [sic] shelters, the &#8220;principal thought that filled my mind and heart&#8221; had been &#8220;we must never forget!&#8221; It was not enough to hope that postwar Germans and Japanese would &#8220;behave themselves as decent people&#8221;: &#8220;Hoping is not good enough&#8230;Germany and Japan must be kept disarmed.&#8221; <\/i><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Can you imagine Dan Rather helping John Snow write a policy speech given from Baghdad? Can you understand how the notion that he was an American first, and a journalist later might have figured in Murrow&#8217;s makeup? How would that have played with Eason Jordan, do you think? <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In the comments to this post on propaganda, Praktike dinged me and suggested I read Michael Beschloss&#8217; book on planning for the aftermath of WWII, &#8216;The Conquerors.&#8217; As I&#8217;d noted, it was on the list (I have an Excel file of all the books, records, and movies I mean to get around to), but his [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/772"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=772"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/772\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=772"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=772"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=772"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}