{"id":785,"date":"2005-05-05T07:19:47","date_gmt":"2005-05-05T07:19:47","guid":{"rendered":"0"},"modified":"2006-09-28T12:09:08","modified_gmt":"2006-09-28T12:09:08","slug":"wicked_iraq","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/?p=785","title":{"rendered":"Wicked Iraq"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>There&#8217;s a debate going on over at <a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonmonthly.com\/archives\/individual\/2005_05\/006225.php\" target=\"browser\">Kevin Drum&#8217;s<\/a> place between <a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonmonthly.com\/archives\/individual\/2005_05\/006227.php\" target=\"browser\">Dan Drezner<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonmonthly.com\/archives\/individual\/2005_05\/006229.php\" target=\"browser\">Marc Lynch<\/a> over the role of the invasion of Iraq in the recent democratic twitchings going on in the Middle East.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s an amusing debate, as each side tries make a conclusive argument one way or the other. But it&#8217;s a wicked hard argument to win, as they say in Boston. <\/p>\n<p>Sadly, reality is, as Rittel and Weber say, a &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Wicked_problems\" target=\"browser\">wicked<\/a>&#8221; problem. They defined a wicked problem as:<br \/>\n# There is no definitive formulation of a wicked problem.<br \/>\n# Wicked problems have no stopping rule.<br \/>\n# Solutions to wicked problems are not true-or-false, but good-or-bad.<br \/>\n# There is no immediate and no ultimate test of a solution to a wicked problem.<br \/>\n# Every solution to a wicked problem is a &#8220;one-shot operation&#8221;; because there is no opportunity to learn by trial-and-error, every attempt counts significantly.<br \/>\n# Wicked problems do not have an enumerable (or an exhaustively describable) set of potential solutions, nor is there a well-described set of permissible operations that may be incorporated into the plan.<br \/>\n# Every wicked problem is essentially unique.<br \/>\n# Every wicked problem can be considered to be a symptom of another problem.<br \/>\n# The existence of a discrepancy in representing a wicked problem can be explained in numerous ways. The choice of explanation determines the nature of the problem&#8217;s resolution.<br \/>\n# The planner (designer) has no right to be wrong.<\/p>\n<p>And in their &#8220;Dilemmas in a General Theory of Planning,&#8221; they suggested that classical failures in planning came from assuming that problems in the wicked sphere (political reality) could be modeled and &#8216;rationalized&#8217; using the methodologies that can be successful in the tame sphere (engineering).<\/p>\n<p>History only runs one way.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Iraq is what&#8217;s known as a &#8220;wicked problem.&#8221; This is one reason that arguments about it are so hard to win. Amred Liberal explains.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/785"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=785"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/785\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=785"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=785"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/marcdanziger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=785"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}