Well, it’s going to be a fun September here in California!! Here’s what we have on the plate:
1. The Recall. Do we vote 2nd term Governor and former Presidential aspirant Gray Davis out of office and send him home to his little-used West Hollywood condo? If we do that, are we damaging the Democratic Party? Are we damaging the State?
Assuming we do send him home, we have:
2. The Replacement. Who do we vote in to replace him? As of this afternoon, we have (in order of my perception of their electability) some major candidates…Arnold Schwartzenegger
Cruz Bustamente
Arianna Huffington
John Garamendi
Tom McClintock
Darryl Issa – the guy who funded the recall effort with $1.7 million of his own cash, just pulled out about an hour ago.
We also have
Audie Bock (ex-Green Assembly member from Oakland)
Peter Camejo (ex-Green candidate for Gov)
Larry Flynt (pornographer)
Jack Grisham (lead signer for punk band T.S.O.L.)
And last, but not least, Angelyne!!
If nothing else, it’s the full-employment-for-political-consultants month, and since some of them are my friends, I’m all for it.
As a voter, however, it’s kind of confusing.
First, I think that the recall is a Good Thing. I know it’s going to cost us money, and distract our politicians’ attention from the current set of crises. But I think that it’s a giant bucket of ice water splashed in the political establishment’s face, waking them up to the peasants with pitchforks standing outside the building howling with rage.
If you’ve read much of my stuff, you’ll know that I’m one of them. I’m tired of ‘seagull government’, I’m tired of paying taxes for programs that don’t work while ones that do get cut off and abandon people in real need, I’m tired of a government that manages to lack compassion, common sense, a sense of humility, and a sense of purpose beyond lunch and eventually getting a nice retirement paycheck … and here I’m talking about the elected officials, not the folks working at the DMV or the Welfare Department. It’s their management that makes them act the ways we don’t like, and their management that can and must change them. It’s the leaders who select that management who need to be kept accountable.
The system needs a slap in the face and a kick in the ass. It needs a lot more as well, stuff that will only come with long patient work and commitment, and the challenge will be to take that anger and turn it into fuel for the long haul ahead. But for now, we’ve got to get started someplace, and someplace feels like my local polling place in October.
I’m personally torn between the desire to have a grownup come in and clean up the mess – a Leon Panetta (Bustamente might make that level with me, I’ll have to think very hard), and someone who will come in, hang the legislators out of the window and shake them by their ankles until they see their way to more meaningful change – which would be an Arnold.
I’m going to be researching Bustamente with my friends in Sacramento. I’m disinclined to support him because supporting him dodges the larger-scale issues set out above…it doesn’t respond to change with anything except handing the job to the next guy in line for the job. But that’s not a firm position.
Panetta would be my ideal candidate – has enough political weight to have relations up and down the line, can call in friendships and favors, is smart about budget issues. He doesn’t address the ‘soft’ issues, but he probably would do the best job on the hard ones. Sadly, he isn’t in the race, and with today’s developments, is unlikely to jump in.
Ah-nold would probably be next. I’ve met him twice (once in the context of business, and once accidentally – a long time ago, pre-Terminator – in the gym, where he stopped to criticize my technique and wound up giving a half-hour seminar to fifteen people on situps), and frankly been impressed both times. He’s a smart businessman who has managed to surround himself with competent people in his chosen fields of endeavor – and that’s one of the first things I look for in judging someone. His policy mix is probably right down the middle for California – although he shoots, he’s probably pro-moderate gun regulation, pro-choice, pro-gay, pro-education. He has shown himself canny in his use of celebrity to further his goals – whether business or political – and he has the communication skills to use the bully pulpit, if he really has a message to give.
Jesse Ventura is the obvious comparison, and he turned out to be an awful governor. But…he was a commentator (a solo contributor, as opposed to a manager), and at the end of the day, he broke trail for Tim Pawlenty, who is from all accounts a damn good governor.
So it’s likely that Arnold has a better chance than Jesse to be competent (although he has the horrible disadvantages of no political relationships in Sacramento), and he may well serve the same function in breaking trail for someone better.
At this point, barring Panetta showing up by Saturday, or some news about Arnold that will shock me (a movie star who likes women!! The horror!! The horror!! Sorry, unless he’s a rapist, I can’t get upset about that…), I think I’m tipping his way.
There’s a problem…
…if he brings a GOP infrastructure with him, it will be an issue in the ’04 Presidential campaign, and if I believed it would be a close race in ’04 and that California was critical, I might waver a bit.
Lots to think about, and meanwhile, sit down, strap in, and hang on…this is definitely going to be interesting.