I had very little good to say about Rep. John Murtha while he was alive; he died yesterday, and I want to take a moment and remember that he was a person who deserves a bow of the head; he served his country and his district as well as he could.

We’re all in this together – all citizens of the same country – and no matter how much we oppose each other politically, it’s important to remember that.
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We went car-buying on Friday.

The last time was in 2006, when we sold our minivan and bought a Civic Hybrid.

We didn’t want a Prius, because TG has an irrational (or given recent news, entirely rational…) dislike of Toyotas, and I didn’t like the idea of a ‘statement’ car. We bought it, first and foremost, for the HOV lane stickers, but also because I thought it was neat technology, and because I do think that cutting back on our energy consumption in non-hair shirt ways is a good thing to do.

Note that I really don’t see hybrids as all that environmentally benign, so our plate – ECO FROD – reflected that.

Well, at the end of this year, the HOV stickers on hybrids expire, and probably won’t be renewed, and we’ve put 60,000 miles on ours with decent – not great, not terrible – results. We had to replace the main battery (warranty) but it was brain damage to get the local dealer – Scott Robinson Honda, who does Honda’s fleet cars (American Honda is here in Torrance) struggled for a bit to deal with the driveability problems caused by the dying battery, but once I escalated they were great in getting it all dealt with.

So – no stickers soon, a car with hypercomplex technical systems and a so-so support chain. Sounds like time to reconsider what we’d do.

I kicked the issue over to my frugality friend at Downturn Living, and she and her readers were clear that the frugal, economically sensible thing was to keep the car.

So of course we decided not to.

Instead, this Friday, we bought a new 2009 Honda Civic GX – a natural gas powered car.

I was initially kind of anxious about a NGV – just that the logistics of refuelling are more complex (there are some 26 fuelling stations in the parts of Southern California where we typically go – and I worry that TG, who tends to run her vehicles on fumes would wind up getting towed.

But I put them all into a map and loaded it into our Garmin, and so far – after 4 days and 300 miles – it’s been pretty darn easy.

Home filling stations are (sort of) available – the Phill brand went BK and may be releaunched – but I’m unsure of the economics for someone who drives as little as we do. We do long trips, and the odds are that we’ll be renting more for that – I’d guess that 10K of the hybrid’s miles are on road trips.

And the new car is interesting – really downmarket and defeatured compared to our hybrid, which not only has a leather interior but is in a far higher state of trim. It’s a real fleet car…just the basics. We’ll invest in a decent stereo and leave it at that, I’m thinking.

We bought the car through our credit union’s car-buying service, and got a great deal on it. Thanks to Jeff Wyrick and Auto Expert Online…and over the next year or so I’ll report on our experience with it.

Back in the 70’s I read Amory Lovin’s Soft Energy Paths and noted his belief in building out a NG infrastructure as a transition plan to hydrogen. It made sense to me then…we’ll see if it makes sense now.
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…but I do not think they means what you think they mean…

So the blogs were all a-twitter over the Gallup Poll last week that showed that 53% of Democrats/leaners have a positive view of socialism (I was going to do this post Friday but was busy buying a car…).

But you know, when you look at the poll, what it shows (I think) is just an American public that’s somewhat confused about labels…and actually a liberal American public that’s a bit more confused about what it believes.

Here’s the breakdown by party:

…what jumps out at me?

53% of the Democrats (and leaners) say they have a positive reaction to socialism. But 95% are positive on small business, 85% on free enterprise, 82% on entrepeneurs, and 53% on capitalism. Notice a contradiction??

Let’s look at the breakdown by ideology:

Socialism is positively viewed by 20% / 39% / 61% (conservatives/moderates/liberals). But…

Free enterprise is liked by 89% / 82% / 87%.

Capitalism 68% / 52% / 60% – more liberals like capitalism than moderates!!

Interestingly, conservatives/Republicans were more consistent in their answers – 20% liked socialism, and 90% liked free enterprise.

I think that what this says is that the broad base of American voters aren’t really all that comfortable with the fine meaning of broad political economy labels; I think the scare factor of labels like ‘socialist’ and ‘capitalist’ has been pretty thoroughly devalued and that the American public – correctly – doesn’t know where the government’s role in the economy ends and business’ begins. They are correct because our national leaders don’t know either.

And that’s not a terrible thing. Governments have been meddling in markets to some extent here since the Founding.

But while it’s not terrible that they are confused, I think it’s problematic; problematic because I think we need a clear vision of our society, economy, and politics that resonates with the people and helps clarify the turbulent times we’re in.

If only we had leaders who were visionaries and great imagemakers…oh, wait…
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Check the update at the bottom…

Kos released his poll of Republican attitudes (he’s doing the polling to support his contention that Republicans = Taliban) and shockingly, the results make them look like – Taliban.

63% believe Obama is a socialist.

39% believe he should be impeached.

23% believe their state should secede.

77% are opposed to gay marriage.

77% believe that Genesis should be taught in the public schools.

76% believe abortion is murder…let’s stop on this one, you get the point.

Now there’s not a lot of background about the mechanics of the poll (i.e. where did the 2,000 self-identified Republicans come from – the Wesboro Baptist Church mailing list, perhaps?), but the numbers pretty much ring completely false to me, based on anecdote (my own experience with Republicans) and data…

…let’s go to the June 2009 CBS News poll, which shows that 40% of Republicans (self-identified, I’d assume) think Roe v Wade is a “good thing.”

…the much-derided Gallup poll on abortion this year showed that 23% of “Republicans and Republican leaners” were pro-choice. I’m not sure how you mathematically get from 7% to 23% by blending “republicans and leaners except by assuming “real republicans” are at 7% and “leaners” are at 75% … plausible? You be the judge.

I’d love to have been polled on this and see what the mechanics of the poll sounded like. But right now, I don’t think I’d take it terribly seriously. I can’t wait to see the book.

Update: Research2000 has a lot of marcomm on its site about how accurate it is, but the only 3rd party reference I could find (in a very fast Google session that included a fast look at the Wayback machine) was this:

Exclusive BMG/Research 2000 poll: Coakley leads 49-41
by: David
Thu Jan 14, 2010 at 11:48:08 AM EST

(Bumped, because we shelled out BMG’s hard-earned money for this. — Bob – promoted by Charley on the MTA)

The results are in from BMG’s exclusive statewide poll in next week’s special Senate election. Research 2000 interviewed 500 likely voters on Tuesday and Wednesday (and we do mean “interviewed” — Research 2000 does live interviews, unlike robo-pollsters Rasmussen and PPP). That means that our poll is the first (and so far only) one taken entirely after Monday’s final televised debate. Here’s what they came up with (margin of error is +/- 4%).

QUESTION: If the 2010 special election for U.S. Senate were held today, would you vote for Martha Coakley, the Democrat, Scott Brown, the Republican, or Joseph Kennedy, the Libertarian candidate?

	ALL	DEM	REP	IND
Martha Coakley	49%	82%	7%	36%
Scott Brown	41%	12%	85%	49%
Joseph Kennedy	5%	1%	2%	11%
Undecided	5%	5%	6%	4%

I wonder how these guys do on Intrade?
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Look, even without the threat of four-wall counseling by Jimbo, I have massive respect for the folks in Special Forces. Read about what they do, go through, how hard they work – it’s all amazing.

…and then, sometimes there’s stuff like this.

Apparently CBS did a 1-hour special on an ODA in Afghanistan, reported by a comely young blonde Brit named Lara Logan.

I just watched it, and winced both at the reporting – the amazing shallowness – and at the behavior of the team as reported.

I found out about the show through Baba Tim over at Free Range International – a site you should be reading if you aren’t already.

His critical commentary on one key incident in the show – where one of the team fired on an advancing truck – seems tactically pretty darn sound to me, and strategically, his criticism couldn’t be more spot on:

When you live behind walls everything on the other side of those walls is a threat. When you isolate your forces from the population you are supposed to “protect,” then your forces have no ability to distinguish friend from foe, threat from normal routine, the good from the bad. Gen McChrystal can gob on all he wants about the importance of “COIN” and getting to know the people blah blah blah … it doesn’t matter because he sets the operational rules here, and under his rules no conventional American troops can leave a FOB unless they have at least four MRAPS and 16 riflemen. How are you supposed to “protect the people” if you can only roll around in large road-bound convoys? How can you “protect the people,” if every night all your people have to be back on the big box FOB’s eating ice cream and pecan pie?

These SF guys are supposed to be the ones who know how to operate outside the big bases with the local population, but did you notice where they live? On a big box FOB, isolated and removed from their Afghan charges which is obvious, because none of them spoke a word of Dari or Pashto. My children can get through formal greetings in both Pashto or Dari and they were here just a few months – it is just not that hard to learn these things when you live in the local environment. Those SF teams should be out here free ranging with guys like Bot, Mullah John, Panjiwai Tim and myself. They are good troops being poorly served by commanders who keep them isolated and removed from the people they are supposed to be protecting. They will never be able to gain the situational awareness required to do real COIN if they remain confined to the Big Box FOBs. That is the real story and as usual the MSM missed it.

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An interesting discussion on Afghanistan, insurgency and “what now” has been breaking out lately.

Note that here, again, the semipro commentariat are doing Obama’s work for him as they collectively try and come up with a strategic framework for the related series of conflicts we seem to be caught up in.

I’ll refer you to three pieces, and focus my own commentary on one of them, the triggering post by Zenpundit (Mark Safranski): ‘The Post-COIN Era is Here.’ In addition, you should read Thomas PM Barnett’s response, as well as T Greer’s supportive post.

So, COIN still reigns supreme, albeit with trimmed sails?

No.

We are forgetting something important about the ascendancy of COIN. It was not accepted by a reluctant Pentagon and the Bush administration because COIN is a very effective operational tool in the right strategic context – although that is certainly true. Nor was it because the advocates of COIN were brilliant policy architects and advocates – though most of them are. COIN became the order of the day for three reasons:

1) The “Big Army, fire the artillery, fly B-52’s and Search & Destroy=counterinsurgency” approach proved to be tactically and strategically bankrupt in Iraq. It failed in Mesopotamia as it failed in the Mekong Delta under Westmoreland – except worse and faster. Period.

2) The loudest other alternative to COIN at the time, the antiwar demand, mostly from Leftwing extremists, of immediately bugging-out of Iraq, damn the consequences, was not politically palatable even for moderately liberal Democrats, to say nothing of Republicans.

3) The 2006 election results were a political earthquake that forced the Bush administration to change policy in Iraq for its’ own sheer political survival. COIN was accepted only because it represented a life preserver for the Bush administration.

We have just had another such political earthquake. The administration is now but one more electoral debacle away from having the president be chased in Benny Hill fashion all over the White House lawn by enraged Democratic officeholders scared out of their wits of losing their seats next November.

Republican Scott Brown, the winner in a stunning upset in Massachusetts’ special election for Senator, certainly had no intention of undermining President Obama’s commitment to Afghanistan. To the contrary, he is for it in a far more muscular manner than was his hapless Democratic opponent. But that’s irrelevant. What matters is that in all the recent elections, Democrats have been clobbered by a “Revolt of the Moderates” – socially liberal, fiscally conservative, independent voters who came out in 2008 for Obama and are now shifting radically away from him. For the next year, politicians of both parties will be competing hard for this bloc which means “deficit hawks” will soar higher than defense hawks.

America’s nine year drunken sailor spending spree is officially over.

He’s making the (very real) point that our strategies have to match our means, and that those means are going to look pretty sketchy for the next few years (sadly for me, who is supposed to be bankrolling my retirement during that term…).

The problem of course can be summed up in three quotes:

“The enemy gets a vote.“

“You may not be interested in war, but war is interested in you.“

and my personal (and most generally applicable) favorite:

“You can’t win.
You can’t break even.
You can’t quit.“

So what do we do if we’re unwilling – or unable – to afford massively time consuming and expensive COIN wars?

Do we hunker down?

Do we follow Hamas rules?

Now – again – I’m not disagreeing with his assessment of the domestic political situation. I think he’s dead on that being fiscally prudent is the Golden Ticket to electoral success in the next round – being fiscally prudent plus (depends on your political affiliation) is going to be the stump speech we’ll all have to hear for the next two years.

But…we can be as cheap as we want to; the problem is that we still have to figure out how to deal with the ongoing expansion of Islamism while doing so.

(Or not…one of the disconnects among people with varying approaches here will be the question of whether the conflict with Islamists would be a significant one if we simply refused to play. Shockingly, I’m on the side that says that things would just get worse.)

Because creating an internal police state to deal with domestic security won’t be a lot cheaper than dealing with the problems outside our borders.

And to me, that’s one of the five real alternatives:

1. Hama rules (B-52’s all the way, “rubble don’t make trouble”).
2. Come home and lay down arms, while defending civil rights for everyone.
3. COIN
4. The security state. (“Homeland Security is watching you, buddy, so watch your a**!”)
5. Magic underpants gnomes.

I’ve got to say that ranking these in reverse preference order (for me), it’s #4, #2, #1, #3, and maybe, depending on what it is, #5.

So maybe we’d all better get cracking on figuring it out.
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A friend has stated a smart ‘frugality blog,’ and I went there with a question on what to do about our car (about which more later)…check out ‘New Car or Used Car: Eco-Friendly Or Not?‘
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Check out this Powerpoint and speech by Larry Lessig at the Cato Institute…

…suggesting that left and right have some common critiques of the current system. Not a massively exciting presentation, but a really, really smart one.

(h/t The Tinker’s Mind)
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So Big Government contributor and ACORN-stinger James O’Keefe has been arrested for – allegedly – conspiring to do something to the phone likes at Democratic LA Sen Landreau’s office.

Young, suicidally aggressive, and incarcerated is no way to go through life, James.

There’s no excuse, bummer for him, and if true it may well be that he’ll enjoy penal food for a bit (start eating bologna sandwiches now, acquire the taste for them).

The usual progressive subjects are leaping in the air and waving flags, claiming that this – somehow – devalues the videos he took at ACORN.

Hint: no it doesn’t.

My favorite line was from ACORN spokesman Kevin Whelan:

“ACORN’s leadership and grassroots leaders have taken a whole series of steps, including commissioning an independent report that shows actually there wasn’t illegal conduct by any of the ACORN employees involved, although we fired people involved for improper conduct,” Whelan said.

So it was improper, but not illegal, and therefore OK…right, then, move along.
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Just watch it.