In the comments on my post on Rall, below, Demosthenes takes exception to my position:
AL: I think you’re glossing over Andy’s valid point, and missing the fact that this is neither the Harding administration, and historical comparisons are limited by other, differing factors. At this point, we’ve got a combination of factors that hasn’t really happened in history: we’ve got a tightly integrated worldwide system of capital flows, a lot of “rank and file” investors, the presence of an abundance of other ways of capitalizing companies, and proof that corporate bosses were playing around with the numbers in an attempt to make themselves look good. Some of these have been present before (Harding administration, for some, 1929 for others) but I believe the combination is unique, as are all the other social, political, etc. forces involved nowadays. (Hell, this is happening in the middle of a war… isn’t that new?)
Well, one could argue that every historic moment is different from every other moment; there’s truth in that. I’m suggesting that the current situation has more in common with similar situations in the past than not; that’s partly my philosophical approach to life…I learned early on that the exceptionalist argument made by my generation didn’t hold much water. I think we’re in for an interesting time of it on a lot of fronts, but don’t believe that the current round of market scandals nor the (to me inevitible, if only I’d had the nerve and cash to back it up…) decline in the markets represents The End Of Things As We Know Them (or as my gun nut friends are fond of discussing TEOTWAWKI – The End Of The World As We Know It). I’m actually more interested in why it is that so many people seem to long for the Catastrophe, and wonder if that’s somehow unique or related to the philosophical crises I’ve tried to discuss before.
As for that silly bit against Rall… I realize you don’t like the guy, but dislike doesn’t mean dismissable. I think Rall had a valid point in that this could mean a significantly lowered role for stock markets for a long time to come, and it plays into the hands of those young protestor critics of global capitalism awfully well. I think the only reason they haven’t had a bigger presence is because of the WoT, but if that changes, they’ve got ready-made examples for their charges.
I don’t dislike the guy, I’ve never met him. I think that he tends to write stupid things, and since he nominally plays on my team (liberals) that annoys me. I think that markets will play a lower role in corporate capital formation than before, but that’s a good thing, because five clowns and a Yugo can no longer go public at an immense market cap. There’s a reason old-fashioned investment and lending strategies tend to survive: they work pretty well.