On Market Instability

Check this out from ‘The Big Picture.’

But what about the final thrust lower – the seeming air pocket? We know, thanks to our friends at CNBC who were fixated on this particular stock, that Proctor & Gamble tumbled by over -35% in the span of about 5 minutes. It’s impossible to tell by looking at a chart of the stock, but when you look at the individual prints you can see that this was not a case in which two or three “erroneous” prints marked the tape down to $39 before the stock sprang back to $60. I’ve got 28 pages in front of me of P&G prints that occurred between $39 and $50 per share and between 2:46 p.m. and 2:51 p.m. At 36 prints per page, that means P&G traded over one thousand times at those “crazy” and “surely erroneous” levels. I’m sorry, but that isn’t an error, THAT IS WHAT WE LIKE TO CALL TRADING.

One thought on “On Market Instability”

  1. Well, yes. Even though, as Econbrowser points out, some of the 1 cent trades “are utterly irrational by any standard.”:http://www.econbrowser.com/archives/2010/05/staying_sane_in.html

    I would say that there are a few messages in here.

    Message #1: the portfolio that you though had a certain risk level before the plunge, has a greater risk level than you thought.

    Message #2: A stock market of programmed computer instructions, trades differently than a market of people.

    On a related note, one message may be the potential dangers of high-frequency trading, which now comprises 70%+ of the market. I am not convinced that it should be allowed at all, but I will want more evidence that it played an important role here before jumping to conclusions.

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