NEW MODEL ARMY

William Burton writes:


Now, making economic issues the focus of the Democratic Party won’t be easy, but it’s doable. The Republicans will try to make elections about the social policies that win them votes, not about the economic policies that even most of their supporters don’t agree with (*), but that won’t be the biggest problem. The biggest problem will be untangling Democratic policies from the web of donors who keep the party funded.
Right now, the economic polices that would win the most support for the Democratic Party also happen to be the ones that their donors agree with least. As long as the banks, insurance companies, and drug companies can buy themselves influence from Democratic politicians, they will (even if they’d really prefer Republicans to win). As long as they continue to buy influence, the Democrats will be unable to take the economic positions that will win them electoral majorities. Of course, the Democrats also need money to win elections, and they get this money from their donors. There’s a kinda chicken-and-the-egg dynamic going. That’s why I said this would be tougher than fighting off the Republicans’ efforts to make every election about Acid, Amnesty, and Abortion (with their modern sidekicks Guns, God, and Gays).
The most obvious change would be to the positions Democratic candidates take on economic issues. No longer can they try to be marginally better than Republicans while trying mightily not offend anyone who might write them a check. Playing it safe and refusing to take a stand allows the opponents to pick the issues to do battle with. This is how we’ve allowed the Republicans to position themselves as the Lower Taxes Party when they’re really the Lower Taxes for Corporations and Rich Folks Party. The Democrats haven’t put forth any realistic proposals other than opposition to tax cuts (never a winner electorally). Instead, they should’ve put forth their own proposal that dramatically lowered the tax burden on the middle and working classes while doing next to nothing for the top end. Unfortunately, plans like that don’t get pushed by people trying to keep their donors happy above all else.
I’d also suggest a change in image for the Democrats, but not anything superficial. The Republicans have gotten a lot of mileage out of kicking the so-called “liberal elites” who are supposedly trying to make life hell for white male heterosexuals like myself. Now, a lot of that is pure bullshit and a bunch more is due to the confusion of the academic left (which is virtually powerless in real life, but tends to make itself a good target) and the political left as typified by unions and other power brokers within the Democratic Party. There’s not much that anyone can do about leftist intellectuals pontificating and right-wing talking heads making it seem as if they represent the Democratic Party. We can, however, craft an alternate image for the party that revolves around family and community. That’s the kind of thing that appeals to people regardless of their race or religion (and it’ll make the talking heads look like the idiots they are when they try to say that Democrats are against families).

Now he’s dead-on-target on his analysis here and in the balance of the post that I’ve clipped. The New Deal Democratic alliance was shattered by George Wallace and Jane Fonda, and while the ex-partners eye each other with a mixture of melancholy and anger … kind of like ex-husbands and wives … the reality is that the issues which once held them together don’t any more.
So the Democrats are left looking for a core constituency. But they have three: Rich liberals, who value their self-image as ‘just’, African-Americans who know that many of the programs designed for social redress have become giant patronage machines, and the public unions, as noted here by Rob Lyman.
The Democratic ‘investors’ (donors), invest to secure their own positions. The bigger voter audiences in the middle have interests that often conflict with the Democratic ‘investors’, and sadly, when put to the choice, the Party goes with the ‘investors’ almost every time.
Now I think there’s a big constituency out there…the single moms making $30K and barely getting by, the two-income families who realize that they’ll never make more than $25K together, all the way up to the middle-class families making $100K and happy to own a home, but who realize that they can save for retirement or send the kids to college, but not both.
Social and economic policies aren’t aimed at these people. And yet, they are the ones who the ‘invisible hand’ of globalization is hitting the hardest – by limiting opportunity, by exporting jobs, by capping salaries.
I’m not an isolationist. King Canute’s lesson to his advisors has sunk in. But we have to look at how we will manage the changes in the economy, if in no other way than by cushioning the impacts on those who can least afford it.
The problems of the very poor are equally real, and in many ways, more wrenching. But they don’t have far to fall, and the mere ability to get and hold a job gets them through their worst problems.
And, cynically, they don’t vote.
The working classes do. And they are righteously afraid of falling down a level, with all the reason in the world.
That’s the face of the New Model Democratic Party. When we figure out how to make the lives of working Americans better…by getting out of the way and letting entrepreneurs create jobs, while keeping the scam artists from looting the banks and corporations…by designing tax policy that is simple, fair, and tilted toward those who work rather than those who invest (yeah, this is going to be an issue…)….and by figuring out how to provide the public goods and how to get out of the way and let the market provide the private goods these people need to have decent lives.
A long time ago, I became convinced that what most people want…whether they grew up in Oxaca, Compton, or Brentwood…is a decent house to raise their kids in, a meaningful and reasonable secure job, and some sense that their children’s lives had a shot at being better than theirs.
Deliver that, Democrats, and win.

3 thoughts on “NEW MODEL ARMY”

  1. In the 62 years from 1932 to 1994 the Republicans controlled both the Senate and the House for only two years (1953-1954). The main reason was that during the ’30s they refused to take the nation’s life threatening crises (the deprression and the rise of the Nazis) seriously. Once they were branded irrelevant and unable to come up with serious responses, this view of the Republicans stuck and they remained the minority. They elected a few presidents but they rarely set the national agenda. I fear the democratic liberals may be taking the first steps toward a similar fate. Their behavior and concerns since 9/11 reveal a reluctance to give up “politics as usual”. And since 1972 they’ve rarely been clear-eyed about national security issues. Now when those issues really matter, the electorate seems unwilling to trust them. I’m not ready to say the Democratic Party will be replaced like the Whigs, but they could become politically irrelevant and be forced into the wilderness for a while.

  2. The strategy AL outlines above counts on fear more than hope. Consequently, it does little to improve the Democratic image as dour yet untrustworthy, by which I mean Bush is viewed as a happy hick on one hand but trusted with protecting the nation on the other. Gore, for example, is a no-fun wonk with no chance in 2004. But back to the strategy above: It relies on the fear of middle class descent into poverty (that really is a retreat to the New Deal). As long as the Republicans can present a hopeful instead of fearful front, they’ll win. The problem here is not unlike that behind the Democrats unsuccessful objection to Bush’s tax cuts: They mis-define the middle class. Or, more often, they confuse working class with needy. This has two problems: 1) it alienates those middle- and working-class families who no longer identify with the (outdated?) image of honest folks struggly to make ends meet and 2) it forces the party to attempt to buy off the people footing the bill—big government circular spending. Brave Democrats muster the courage to tell voters they’ll increase taxes to spend the reciepts wisely. But very few are brave enough to offer middle-class voters only dignity in return, not new government benefits. If Democrat policies targeted only the truly needy, the party couldn’t try to bribe Americans who can afford drugs with free prescriptions, for example. However, they could offer scaled-down solutions to real problems and sell themselves as a party of community. The idea of community emerging among Democract resuscitators is oddly divisive in that it excludes most of the upper-middle class. That’s a problem as long as those in the middle aspire to climb the latter. I like what a lot of Democrats like AL are saying these days, about patriotism and idealism for example, but to win they need to be pro-____ rather than just anti-Bush, -war, -rich people, -corporations, etc.

  3. I’m with you on this, AL, and have been for years.
    To win elections in a democracy, you must speak to and for the MAJORITY. This means listening and responding to the concerns and aspirations of the middle class. The disparate collection of groups that the Dems have tried to cobble together for years cannot bring victory.
    One thing that must be added, tho: while I think the economy must be a prime concern for the Democrats (above “rights” issues relating to race, sex, sexual orientation, etc.), it must come second to one overriding issue in the current era. We must revise Clinton’s famous mantra as follows:
    “It’s NATIONAL SECURITY, stupid (*then* the economy).”

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